Late April is really your dog days of sports betting. Football season has been over – sorry XFL – and it doesn’t start back up for months. March Madness is currently a fading memory and the NBA playoffs have started but they are only playing like a game a week. So, what is a sports bettor to accomplish in this sparse time? Luckily, there is a superb betting event that comes up the final weekend of April that real bettors know and like to wager on.
The 2022 NFL Draft took place between, April 28 and Sunday, April 30, 2023. Many people probably don’t look at the draft as a big-time gambling event, ทีเด็ดมวย but it’s grown as a betting opportunity in recent years. With the rise of online gambling of all sorts, from online casinos to sportsbooks, events like the NFL Draft have gone from hardcore football nerd fare to gambler’s dream weekend. Here’s everything you need to know about the ins and outs of betting on the NFL Draft.
No Drama in the #1 Pick
Many years there is a quarrel at the the top of draft board over who goes number 1 overall and this really is always a fun destination for a bet. The years when there is two viable the top of draft choices are always the very best whether it’s Peyton Manning vs Ryan Leaf or a more recent example like Jared Goff vs Carson Wentz.
In 2020, there will be no such drama unless something truly crazy and unexpected happens. LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is the odds-on favorite to be the amount 1 overall pick whether it’s by the Cincinnati Bengals or somebody else who trades up for it. Burrow’s odds have reached -2200 to be the pick and the next closest player is Chase Young, the Ohio State defensive end at +1200. The moral of the story listed here is to avoid betting at the top pick this year.
Betting on Picks 2 -5
In 2010, the smart money and the action so far as betting on where people will go is going to be on picks 2 through 5. The Redskins at pick number 2 are a bit of an exception but picks 3 through 5 without a doubt is going to be fun to wager on.
At pick 2, conventional wisdom says that they will opt for Young but if you know anything about the Redskins, they are anything but predictable. Following the NFL Draft combine, there were whispers that the Skins might take injured Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the next pick. While this still seems unlikely, there is also a trade up for the banged-up signal-caller so betting on Tagovailoa at 2 could make you some money.
In terms of 3 to 5, this can probably be some mixture of Tagovailoa, Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons, and Ohio State’s Jeff Okudah. Determining which order these 3 players will leave the green room in should win you a wonderful chunk of change to really get your 2020 Draft betting off to a great start. You are able to bet on these results in the shape of over/ under draft position or via the amount of money line if you believe you are able to hit it exactly.
The Third Quarterback Off the Board
As discussed above, Burrow and Tagovailoa are virtually mortal locks to be the initial 2 quarterbacks on stage in April. Where the first-round quarterback situation starts to obtain interesting is with the question, who would be the third QB to hear their name called? This debate is really heated right given that ESPN’s two draft experts, Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay actually made a $5,000 bet (for charity) with this question with their own money.
Kiper, the initial NFL draft expert still going strong, loves Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert and his size and arm strength. McShay, on another hand, is more of a lover of Utah State’s Jordan love and his smooth athleticism. You don’t need to plunk down 5K but letting only a little money ride with whichever ESPN draftnik you prefer best would have been a lot of fun.
Positional Over/ Unders
Another great way to bet on the draft would be to take the over/ under on a positional group in the initial round. This will likely keep your bet alive completely until late in the round and if you add together or follow a great mock draft, it could make you some good money.
As with many odds, the oddsmakers in Las Vegas are excellent at putting together lines and over/ unders. Those huge, lavish casinos in the desert didn’t build themselves. Having said that, there is some great value if you’re able to identify the most or least in-demand position groups prior to the draft. In 2019, it was a very defensive heavy year with lots of talent coming out on that side of the ball. Due to this, OL, TE, WR, and QB all went under and RBs pushed at 1.
In 2020, the opposite holds true and there will be a lot of offensive talent that teams covet available early in the draft. There must be 4 quarterbacks taken in the most effective 15 picks and it could be no real surprise if a 5th or even a 6th came off the board by the end of the 1st. There should also be considered a significant run using offensive lineman in round 1.
The big winners of the initial round though is going to be wide receivers. In 2010 would have been a historic wide receiver class and they may see 5 or 6 of these fellow pass catchers all ensure it is into the first. If you learn a range that has OL, QB, or WR at 5 or under, bring it without a doubt you is going to be safe taking up to 6 on these three positions.
Don’t let the NFL offseason enable you to get down as a gambler. There are lots of great futures to bet on and, needless to say, the NFL Draft. Betting on the draft is a superb way spend a week-end and one last tip, ensure you put a coin flip wager on whether the final pick, Mr. Irrelevant, is going to be an offensive or defensive player. That will stop you invested to the bitter end.